Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 50.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.6%
Neutral zone
McKegg 50.5%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
McKegg
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
McKegg
Eller
Last 10: McKegg 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
4
2
McKegg
Eller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
6
McKegg
Eller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
4
2
McKegg
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
52.8% (621)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
46.7% (1,751)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
McKegg
Eller
Home
50.4% (554)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.1% (699)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
McKegg
Eller
P1
48.7%
51.2%
P2
49.9%
50.1%
P3
48.6%
50.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Lars Eller |