Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. McKegg wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Thompson 54.3% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
McKegg 66.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
McKegg
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
55.5% (236)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
56.5% (46)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
McKegg shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
McKegg
Thompson
Home
45.3% (64)
53.1% (128)
Away
44.8% (96)
57.9% (159)
By Period
McKegg
Thompson
P1
48.1%
59.0%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
37.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%