Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Thompson 52.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 64.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.4%
Neutral zone
McKegg 56.6%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
McKegg
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
McKegg
Thompson
Last 10: McKegg 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McKegg
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
McKegg
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
McKegg
Thompson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
54.1% (5,812)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
54.8% (135)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
47.9% (1,381)
+0.9%
On even strength, Thompson has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
McKegg
Thompson
Home
50.4% (554)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.1% (699)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
McKegg
Thompson
P1
48.7%
53.2%
P2
49.9%
52.9%
P3
48.6%
52.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |