Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Dowd 53.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 86.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.2%
Neutral zone
McKegg 67.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
McKegg
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McKegg
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
McKegg
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
55.4% (771)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
45.5% (165)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McKegg is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
McKegg shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
McKegg
Dowd
Home
45.3% (64)
58.2% (462)
Away
44.8% (96)
49.3% (481)
By Period
McKegg
Dowd
P1
48.1%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
37.9%
53.9%
Final 5 min
40.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |