Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 73.5%
Defensive zone
McKegg 71.1%
Neutral zone
McKegg 61.6%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
McKegg
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
McKegg
Dowd
Last 10: McKegg 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
McKegg
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
2
McKegg
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
5
McKegg
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
52.4% (6,009)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
56.1% (164)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
44.1% (1,635)
+4.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
McKegg shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
McKegg
Dowd
Home
50.4% (554)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.1% (699)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
McKegg
Dowd
P1
48.7%
51.7%
P2
49.9%
50.4%
P3
48.6%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 05:13 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |