Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Roy 48.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 53.2%
Defensive zone
McKegg 51.5%
Neutral zone
McKegg 52.9%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
McKegg
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McKegg
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
McKegg
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
McKegg
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
49.5% (746)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
42.7% (110)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McKegg is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
McKegg shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
McKegg
Roy
Home
45.3% (64)
47.7% (491)
Away
44.8% (96)
50.0% (440)
By Period
McKegg
Roy
P1
48.1%
51.1%
P2
50.0%
44.6%
P3
37.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |