Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 54.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
McKegg
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McKegg
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
McKegg
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
McKegg
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
48.7% (3,719)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
49.5% (283)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
45.5% (477)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
McKegg shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
McKegg
Roy
Home
50.4% (554)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
48.1% (699)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
McKegg
Roy
P1
48.7%
50.8%
P2
49.9%
46.3%
P3
48.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |