Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 34.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 42.9% vs Eller 56.2% (-18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 61.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 50.0%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 53.5%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Lapierre
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lapierre
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Lapierre
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (204)
57.2% (306)
-17.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
77.8% (9)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
60.0% (35)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lapierre is 34.0% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Lapierre shoots left. Eller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Eller
Home
44.3% (106)
52.7% (150)
Away
34.3% (102)
62.0% (200)
By Period
Lapierre
Eller
P1
55.1%
54.1%
P2
39.2%
59.6%
P3
23.1%
59.8%
Final 5 min
37.5%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
34.0%▼
40.5%
39.4%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |