Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 42.7% vs Eller 55.7% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 54.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Lapierre
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lapierre
Eller
Last 6: Lapierre 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Lapierre
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Lapierre
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (248)
56.5% (434)
-16.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
77.8% (9)
-37.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.5% (46)
-56.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lapierre is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Lapierre shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Eller
Home
44.2% (138)
53.1% (211)
Away
34.5% (116)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Lapierre
Eller
P1
54.2%
55.4%
P2
39.1%
58.1%
P3
25.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
37.5%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |