Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 39.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lapierre 70.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.4%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 52.4%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Lapierre
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Lapierre
Eller
Last 10: Lapierre 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
3
0
Lapierre
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Lapierre
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Lapierre
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (644)
51.1% (10,296)
-12.4%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
52.8% (621)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.7% (1,751)
-46.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lapierre is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Lapierre shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Eller
Home
39.1% (366)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
37.3% (292)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Lapierre
Eller
P1
46.8%
51.2%
P2
38.1%
50.1%
P3
28.9%
50.2%
Final 5 min
34.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
38.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |