Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 44.8% vs Frost 51.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 67.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 72.7%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 67.9%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Lapierre
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lapierre
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Lapierre
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Lapierre
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (98)
50.3% (825)
-10.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.9% (204)
-21.6%
On power play, Frost has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lapierre is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Lapierre shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Frost
Home
36.1% (61)
50.7% (489)
Away
45.0% (40)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Lapierre
Frost
P1
36.4%
53.6%
P2
40.0%
47.8%
P3
42.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |