Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Borgstrom 42.6% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 90.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 93.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 91.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Larkin
Borgstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Larkin
Borgstrom
Last 5: Larkin 5-0 Borgstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Borgstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Borgstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Borgstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
40.6% (384)
+12.3%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
43.8% (16)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
40.0% (5)
+15.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Borgstrom shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Borgstrom is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Larkin
Borgstrom
Home
55.8% (805)
44.2% (190)
Away
53.2% (782)
37.7% (215)
By Period
Larkin
Borgstrom
P1
55.2%
46.6%
P2
53.3%
32.9%
P3
55.1%
44.8%
OT
51.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |