Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Borgstrom wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 43.4% vs Dowd 53.3% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 77.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.3%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 50.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Borgstrom
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Borgstrom
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Borgstrom
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (193)
55.4% (771)
-14.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
57.1% (7)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.5% (165)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Borgstrom is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Borgstrom shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Dowd
Home
37.6% (93)
58.2% (462)
Away
42.3% (111)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Borgstrom
Dowd
P1
41.0%
55.6%
P2
40.3%
50.5%
P3
39.4%
53.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |