Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Borgstrom wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 42.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 71.9%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 53.2%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 50.8%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Borgstrom
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Borgstrom
Dowd
Last 7: Borgstrom 3-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
1
0
Borgstrom
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Borgstrom
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Borgstrom
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (640)
52.4% (6,009)
-11.3%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
56.1% (164)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.1% (1,635)
-10.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Borgstrom is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Borgstrom shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Dowd
Home
42.4% (309)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
39.6% (364)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Borgstrom
Dowd
P1
44.9%
51.7%
P2
36.0%
50.4%
P3
42.6%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |