Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 90.8%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 88.8%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 56.4%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Lundeström
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lundeström
Guentzel
Last 7: Lundeström 4-3 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
3
Lundeström
Guentzel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
4
0
Lundeström
Guentzel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
46.1% (256)
+4.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
47.5% (122)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
16.7% (6)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Guentzel
Home
48.4% (504)
49.3% (201)
Away
45.8% (432)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Lundeström
Guentzel
P1
50.2%
49.6%
P2
43.5%
45.6%
P3
47.8%
41.6%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |