Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.2% vs Guentzel 47.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 77.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 76.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 50.1%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lundeström
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundeström
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Lundeström
Guentzel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (209)
49.0% (200)
+4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
42.3% (111)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
45.8% (24)
+4.2%
On power play, Lundeström has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Lundeström shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Guentzel
Home
50.0% (136)
48.8% (166)
Away
57.3% (103)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Lundeström
Guentzel
P1
53.2%
46.7%
P2
54.8%
48.5%
P3
51.9%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |