Isac Lundeström vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 64.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.2% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 80.6%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 70.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lundeström
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (209)
50.0% (992)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.9% (148)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
34.4% (32)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundeström is 64.1% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Lundeström shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (136)
53.3% (591)
Away
57.3% (103)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Lundeström
MacKinnon
P1
53.2%
49.9%
P2
54.8%
53.2%
P3
51.9%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |