Isac Lundeström vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 78.1%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 69.9%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Last 6: Lundeström 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Lundeström
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (554)
44.7% (1,053)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
36.8% (95)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
65.0% (20)
-18.7%
On power play, Lundeström has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundeström is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Lundeström shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Home
47.4% (266)
49.4% (553)
Away
47.6% (336)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Lundeström
MacKinnon
P1
54.5%
45.3%
P2
44.4%
42.7%
P3
44.6%
45.1%
OT
36.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |