Isac Lundeström vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 88.0%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 84.0%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 51.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lundeström
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
49.2% (1,266)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
54.9% (193)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
49.1% (55)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundeström is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lundeström shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Home
48.4% (504)
50.9% (740)
Away
45.8% (432)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Lundeström
MacKinnon
P1
50.2%
50.9%
P2
43.5%
51.8%
P3
47.8%
47.1%
OT
71.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%