Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Monahan 52.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 83.5%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 61.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Lundeström
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lundeström
Monahan
Last 6: Lundeström 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Lundeström
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lundeström
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
51.5% (641)
-6.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
62.8% (129)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
33.3% (9)
+3.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Monahan
Home
45.8% (428)
53.9% (362)
Away
43.2% (451)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Lundeström
Monahan
P1
48.6%
48.0%
P2
46.5%
57.0%
P3
37.8%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |