Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 88.3%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 61.0%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Lundeström
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Lundeström
Monahan
Last 10: Lundeström 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Lundeström
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
7
1
Lundeström
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
7
Lundeström
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
52.4% (853)
-2.1%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
58.6% (174)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
46.5% (144)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Monahan
Home
48.4% (504)
53.4% (624)
Away
45.8% (432)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Lundeström
Monahan
P1
50.2%
53.7%
P2
43.5%
52.4%
P3
47.8%
51.6%
OT
71.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |