Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Aho 52.2% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 83.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 74.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Lundeström
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lundeström
Aho
Last 6: Lundeström 3-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
51.6% (819)
-6.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
58.4% (173)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
46.3% (67)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Aho
Home
45.8% (428)
53.9% (568)
Away
43.2% (451)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Lundeström
Aho
P1
48.6%
55.4%
P2
46.5%
51.2%
P3
37.8%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |