Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 78.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 92.7%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 62.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Lundeström
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lundeström
Aho
Last 5: Lundeström 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Lundeström
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Lundeström
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
54.5% (870)
-4.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
62.4% (266)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
37.1% (62)
+3.2%
On even strength, Aho has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Aho
Home
48.4% (504)
53.9% (603)
Away
45.8% (432)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Lundeström
Aho
P1
50.2%
54.1%
P2
43.5%
55.0%
P3
47.8%
57.4%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |