Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Barbashev 42.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 89.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 69.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 78.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Last 5: Rodrigues 4-1 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Barbashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Barbashev
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
37.9% (272)
+9.3%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
58.6% (29)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
40.7% (27)
+1.6%
On even strength, Rodrigues has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Home
49.8% (215)
45.3% (137)
Away
44.4% (171)
36.1% (191)
By Period
Rodrigues
Barbashev
P1
44.2%
41.8%
P2
53.5%
43.1%
P3
44.6%
31.9%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |