Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Carter 51.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 73.6%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 82.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 74.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Barbashev
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barbashev
Carter
Last 7: Barbashev 2-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Barbashev
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
49.9% (935)
-3.4%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
61.8% (157)
-45.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
46.7% (92)
-5.4%
On power play, Carter has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Barbashev shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Carter
Home
45.9% (233)
52.4% (638)
Away
45.2% (208)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Barbashev
Carter
P1
46.5%
49.6%
P2
48.3%
50.9%
P3
42.1%
53.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |