Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Carter 60.1% (-20.0%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 82.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 87.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 50.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Barbashev
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
65.6% (262)
-25.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
68.3% (63)
-10.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Barbashev is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Carter
Home
45.8% (48)
64.3% (207)
Away
38.5% (39)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Barbashev
Carter
P1
43.3%
65.3%
P2
31.0%
60.1%
P3
53.6%
63.8%
Final 5 min
35.3%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%