Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Carter 53.2% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 92.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 95.6%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 95.6%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Barbashev
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Barbashev
Carter
Last 10: Barbashev 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
5
Barbashev
Carter
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Barbashev
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
6
Barbashev
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
53.3% (8,728)
-11.3%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
57.3% (1,554)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
46.3% (1,087)
-9.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Carter
Home
42.4% (932)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Barbashev
Carter
P1
40.7%
53.6%
P2
42.3%
52.8%
P3
42.3%
53.1%
OT
60.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
39.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |