Ivan Barbashev vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 45.7%). Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Kotkaniemi 46.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 83.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 64.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Barbashev 4-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
1
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
45.2% (706)
+1.3%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
50.6% (79)
-33.9%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Barbashev is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Barbashev shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Home
45.9% (233)
46.8% (438)
Away
45.2% (208)
44.4% (347)
By Period
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
P1
46.5%
48.2%
P2
48.3%
48.9%
P3
42.1%
39.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |