Ivan Barbashev vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 95.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 90.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 89.5%
10.5%
89.5%
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: Barbashev 6-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
4
1
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
49.0% (3,852)
-7.0%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
51.3% (351)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
45.7% (35)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Barbashev shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Home
42.4% (932)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
P1
40.7%
49.9%
P2
42.3%
50.4%
P3
42.3%
47.2%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |