Ivan Barbashev vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +25.9% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 22.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.7% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-25.9%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 54.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
18.6% (43)
47.3% (207)
-28.7%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
100.0% (3)
-57.1%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Barbashev is 22.9% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Barbashev shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
Home
20.8% (24)
46.5% (129)
Away
23.1% (26)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Barbashev
Kotkaniemi
P1
33.3%
51.3%
P2
6.7%
46.1%
P3
21.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
0.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%