Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Couture 48.8% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 74.7%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 67.8%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 71.3%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Barbashev
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barbashev
Couture
Last 5: Barbashev 1-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Barbashev
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Barbashev
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
48.7% (986)
-10.8%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
58.5% (94)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
44.1% (195)
-3.4%
On even strength, Couture has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Barbashev shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Couture
Home
45.3% (137)
47.2% (625)
Away
36.1% (191)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Barbashev
Couture
P1
41.8%
46.8%
P2
43.1%
49.8%
P3
31.9%
49.8%
OT
75.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
37.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |