Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Couture 47.6% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 68.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 79.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 53.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Barbashev
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
49.2% (1,083)
-10.1%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
56.7% (60)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
35.4% (206)
-15.4%
On power play, Couture has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Barbashev shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Couture
Home
40.0% (85)
49.6% (713)
Away
35.6% (59)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Barbashev
Couture
P1
35.8%
47.2%
P2
29.5%
45.0%
P3
48.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
31.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%