Ivan Barbashev vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Backlund 50.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 91.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 70.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Barbashev
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barbashev
Backlund
Last 5: Barbashev 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Barbashev
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
51.0% (1,205)
-11.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
59.3% (108)
-1.0%
On even strength, Backlund has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Barbashev is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Barbashev shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Backlund
Home
45.8% (48)
51.2% (782)
Away
38.5% (39)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Barbashev
Backlund
P1
43.3%
51.5%
P2
31.0%
49.8%
P3
53.6%
49.9%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |