Ivan Barbashev vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +27.7% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 22.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.7% vs Backlund 49.7% (-27.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 82.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Barbashev
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barbashev
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
18.6% (43)
50.1% (891)
-31.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.1% (64)
-10.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Barbashev is 22.9% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Barbashev shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Backlund
Home
20.8% (24)
48.1% (580)
Away
23.1% (26)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Barbashev
Backlund
P1
33.3%
45.1%
P2
6.7%
54.7%
P3
21.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
22.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |