Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Nash 51.7% (-12.2%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 71.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 79.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Barbashev
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
54.1% (292)
-16.2%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
57.1% (7)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
45.9% (98)
-5.2%
On even strength, Nash has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nash
Home
45.3% (137)
56.3% (183)
Away
36.1% (191)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Barbashev
Nash
P1
41.8%
58.9%
P2
43.1%
51.0%
P3
31.9%
46.5%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%