Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Nash 48.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 82.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 81.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 81.0%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Barbashev
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Barbashev
Nash
Last 6: Barbashev 0-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Barbashev
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Barbashev
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Barbashev
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
48.7% (4,621)
-6.7%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
51.0% (249)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
44.9% (550)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nash
Home
42.4% (932)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Barbashev
Nash
P1
40.7%
49.0%
P2
42.3%
47.9%
P3
42.3%
48.0%
OT
60.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
39.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Riley Nash |