Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Hartman 45.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Barbashev leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 70.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 72.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 72.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Barbashev
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Barbashev
Hartman
Last 10: Barbashev 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
6
3
Barbashev
Hartman
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Barbashev
Hartman
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
1
Barbashev
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
45.2% (4,235)
-3.2%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
47.4% (443)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
42.4% (262)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Hartman
Home
42.4% (932)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Barbashev
Hartman
P1
40.7%
46.0%
P2
42.3%
42.9%
P3
42.3%
46.8%
OT
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
39.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |