Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Hartman 44.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 62.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 60.6%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 52.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Barbashev
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Barbashev
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
42.6% (495)
-3.5%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
38.5% (26)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.8% (43)
-28.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Hartman
Home
40.0% (85)
43.4% (288)
Away
35.6% (59)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Barbashev
Hartman
P1
35.8%
43.1%
P2
29.5%
43.4%
P3
48.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
31.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
38.2%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |