Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Hartman 47.3% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 70.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 80.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Barbashev
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
47.1% (649)
-7.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
47.1% (68)
+11.2%
On power play, Barbashev has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Barbashev is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Hartman
Home
45.8% (48)
46.5% (361)
Away
38.5% (39)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Barbashev
Hartman
P1
43.3%
45.1%
P2
31.0%
44.4%
P3
53.6%
50.9%
Final 5 min
35.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%