Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 45.7% vs Hartman 43.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Barbashev leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 65.1%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 50.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Barbashev
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Barbashev
Hartman
Last 10: Barbashev 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
4
3
Barbashev
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
1
Barbashev
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
0
Barbashev
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
40.9% (413)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
38.9% (36)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Barbashev is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Barbashev shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Hartman
Home
40.6% (101)
46.2% (249)
Away
46.6% (88)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Barbashev
Hartman
P1
43.3%
45.4%
P2
41.1%
39.1%
P3
45.5%
40.2%
Final 5 min
34.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
43.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |