Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Johansen 52.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 74.2%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 83.6%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 74.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Barbashev
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barbashev
Johansen
Last 5: Barbashev 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Barbashev
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Barbashev
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (300)
53.4% (845)
-8.7%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
58.8% (102)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
44.7% (85)
+2.9%
On power play, Barbashev has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Barbashev is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Barbashev shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Johansen
Home
39.6% (134)
53.2% (479)
Away
49.5% (194)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Barbashev
Johansen
P1
38.3%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
53.9%
P3
49.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |