Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 75.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 70.8%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 75.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Barbashev
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Barbashev
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Barbashev
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Barbashev
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
59.8% (625)
-20.7%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
58.2% (196)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
51.9% (27)
-31.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Johansen
Home
40.0% (85)
60.3% (436)
Away
35.6% (59)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Barbashev
Johansen
P1
35.8%
61.3%
P2
29.5%
60.4%
P3
48.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
31.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |