Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Johansen 52.4% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 93.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 81.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 89.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 89.3%
10.7%
89.3%
Barbashev
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Barbashev
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
49.4% (1,010)
-11.5%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
62.3% (236)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
67.2% (67)
-26.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Johansen
Home
45.3% (137)
54.7% (655)
Away
36.1% (191)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Barbashev
Johansen
P1
41.8%
52.2%
P2
43.1%
50.7%
P3
31.9%
54.8%
OT
75.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
37.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |