Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Rask 50.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 82.6%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 81.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 83.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Barbashev
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Barbashev
Rask
Last 10: Barbashev 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Barbashev
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Barbashev
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
3
4
Barbashev
Rask
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (1,726)
50.0% (4,428)
-7.9%
Power Play
47.1% (87)
54.3% (363)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
35.2% (54)
+1.5%
On even strength, Rask has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barbashev is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,165).
Barbashev shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Rask
Home
42.5% (926)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
41.4% (1,026)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Barbashev
Rask
P1
40.9%
50.7%
P2
42.5%
48.9%
P3
42.3%
50.7%
OT
60.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
39.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Victor Rask |