Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Rask 50.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 83.5%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 81.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 83.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Barbashev
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Barbashev
Rask
Last 10: Barbashev 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Barbashev
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Barbashev
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
3
4
Barbashev
Rask
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
50.0% (4,428)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
54.3% (363)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
35.2% (54)
+1.5%
On power play, Rask has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Barbashev shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Rask
Home
42.4% (932)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Barbashev
Rask
P1
40.7%
50.7%
P2
42.3%
48.9%
P3
42.3%
50.7%
OT
60.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
39.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Victor Rask |