Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Rask 50.4% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Rask 61.7%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 50.9%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 53.2%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Barbashev
Rask
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
50.6% (172)
-12.7%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
50.0% (4)
+8.6%
On even strength, Rask has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Barbashev shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Rask
Home
45.3% (137)
53.7% (82)
Away
36.1% (191)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Barbashev
Rask
P1
41.8%
56.0%
P2
43.1%
47.5%
P3
31.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%