Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 45.7% vs Rask 46.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 51.7%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 75.2%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 62.3%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Barbashev
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Barbashev
Rask
Last 10: Barbashev 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Barbashev
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Barbashev
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Barbashev
Rask
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
45.5% (442)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Barbashev shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Rask
Home
40.6% (101)
45.6% (228)
Away
46.6% (88)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Barbashev
Rask
P1
43.3%
45.1%
P2
41.1%
45.5%
P3
45.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
34.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
43.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Victor Rask |