Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.4% vs 36.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.6% vs Smith 41.4% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Smith 53.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.1%
Result
Will Smith favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Barbashev
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
33.3% (153)
+6.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
56.5% (23)
-36.5%
On power play, Smith has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Barbashev is 18.2% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Barbashev shoots left. Smith is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Smith
Home
35.3% (17)
35.1% (111)
Away
37.5% (16)
38.8% (67)
By Period
Barbashev
Smith
P1
14.3%
41.5%
P2
61.5%
32.8%
P3
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
0.0%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
36.4%
Smith
40.0%▲
36.5%
36.5%