Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Smith 39.9% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Smith 64.6%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 68.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.9%
Result
Will Smith favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Barbashev
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (1,726)
33.2% (184)
+8.9%
Power Play
47.1% (87)
48.1% (27)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
50.0% (2)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Barbashev is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Barbashev shoots left. Smith is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Smith
Home
42.5% (926)
34.1% (126)
Away
41.4% (1,026)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Barbashev
Smith
P1
40.9%
37.9%
P2
42.5%
32.9%
P3
42.3%
32.7%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Smith
40.0%▲
36.5%
35.2%