Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ivan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ivan wins 36.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ivan 44.7% vs Seguin 51.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.3%
Defensive zone
Ivan 70.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.6%
Result
Ivan Ivan favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Ivan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ivan
Seguin
Last 5: Ivan 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Ivan
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ivan
2
1
Ivan
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Ivan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ivan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (132)
54.8% (135)
-14.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
58.3% (24)
+1.7%
On even strength, Seguin has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Ivan is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Ivan shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Ivan
Seguin
Home
40.0% (50)
47.4% (95)
Away
41.4% (87)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Ivan
Seguin
P1
35.9%
50.8%
P2
38.2%
57.1%
P3
48.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ivan
50.0%▲
41.0%
40.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Ivan Ivan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ivan Ivan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |